Equity, Diversity and Inclusion

Women may never have equal representation in the US workforce. Here's why

An employee of software company Nuix stands in their office located in central Sydney, Australia, April 5, 2016. Software produced by the little-known Australian developer has helped journalists piece together news leads from the mountains of data found in the contents of the Panama Papers, one of the biggest document leaks in history. Sydney-based Nuix Pty Ltd donated its document analysis programme to the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ) to sift through the millions of leaked documents from Panamanian law firm Mossack Fonseca.     REUTERS/David Gray - RTSDN0S

Gender disparity has always been endemic within the US workforce. Image: REUTERS/David Gray

Claire Zillman
Writer, Fortune

Women have made impressive gains in the workforce in the past decades. Between 1960 and 2000, their participation rate—propelled by gains among married women and married mothers—skyrocketed from 37.7% to 59.9%. That growth boosted women's share of the overall United States workforce from 33.4% to 46.5%.

But according to new findings from the Pew Research Center, both of those trends are in the process of reversing themselves, a phenomenon that—if it continues—means women will never make up half of all U.S. workers.

 Figure 1
Image: Eurostat/IMF

The female share of the labor force is expected to peak in 2025 at 47.1%, but will then taper off to 46.3% by 2060, relegating women to the minority of workers for the foreseeable future.

That disheartening forecast is the result of new projections that indicate a continued decline in the share of women who work. After soaring to 59.9% in 2000, the women's labor force participation rate has ticked down, landing at 56.7% in 2015. In addition to aging and retirement, the decline is due to an increased likelihood that mothers with young children will not work. That group, especially those with less education, is less likely to participate in the labor force now than it was in 2000, perhaps because of what some sociologists see as a reversion to traditional gender roles. Another factor is single women withdrawing from the labor force in favor of attending school.

Theses projections are concerning, Pew says, because " improvements in the nation’s standard of living depend on labor force participation and productivity growth ." As women entered the workforce at a rapid pace in the decades leading up to 2000, they spurred an increase in living standards as measured by per capital gross domestic product. The reversal of that trend is now having the opposite effect; it's depressing economic growth.

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