Health and Healthcare Systems

Our life span could have reached its peak

People use wooden dumbbells during a health promotion event to mark Japan's "Respect for the Aged Day" at a temple in Tokyo's Sugamo district, an area popular among the Japanese elderly, September 15, 2014. The population aged over 65 in Japan reaches about 33 million, which is the highest number in the history meaning one out of every four people is 65 or older, according to the government survey. REUTERS/Yuya Shino (JAPAN - Tags: SOCIETY HEALTH SPORT) - RTR467JR

“Data strongly suggest that it [maximum longevity] has already been attained and that this happened in the 1990s.” Image: REUTERS/Yuya Shino

Dom Galeon
Writer, Futurism
Patrick Caughill
Associate Editor, Futurism

Scientists at the Albert Einstein College of Medicine assert that they have discovered themaximum lifespan of human beings, and it’s a range we may no longer be able to exceed. Dr. Jan Vijg, professor of ophthalmology and visual sciences at Einstein, lead the research, which was published online today in the journal Nature.

Using data from Human Mortality Database, population data from more than 40 countries, and maximum-reported-age-at-death data from the International Database on Longevity, the researchers identified the maximum human lifespan at an average of 115 years, with anabsolute limit of 125 years.

Vijg was clear to outline that we have already achieved the best we can through biology: “Data strongly suggest that it [maximum longevity] has already been attained and that this happened in the 1990s.”

Life expectancy has been on the rise since the 19th century (due to improvements in public health, diet, the environment, and similar factors). Data analysis showed that, while late-life mortality experienced a decline since the 1900s, age-at-death reached a plateau in 1995— despite rapidly increasing between the 1970s and early 1990s — indicating a lifespan limit.

It’s worth noting that the maximum documented lifespan in history belongs to Jeanne Clement, a French woman who died at the age of 122 in 1997, close to the 1995 age- at-death plateau. Vijg and his team concluded that the probability of a person living to 125 years is less than 1 in 10,000.

Global ageing in a nutshell
Image: bank of america merrill lynch

POSSIBLE EXTENSION?

So, is that it? We can live up to 125 years tops? “Further progress against infectious and chronic diseases may continue boosting average life expectancy, but not maximum lifespan,” Vijg believes.

This is where, perhaps, advances in bionics and advances in synthetic biology can takeover. Indeed, advances in the field of biotechnology are currently making waves, and the use of CRISPR (and genetics research in general) is making it possible to modify DNA, the source code of life itself. These same tools may allow us to extend life through a variety of means.

However, Vijg notes that genetic modification alone (that biology by itself) will not be enough: “While it’s conceivable that therapeutic breakthroughs might extend human longevity beyond the limits we’ve calculated, such advances would need to overwhelm the many genetic variants that appear to collectively determine the human lifespan,” Vijg explains.

Extending the human lifespan will require extensive research, definitely. But it’s a challenge worth undertaking…we just may need to start turning to the artificial.

Don't miss any update on this topic

Create a free account and access your personalized content collection with our latest publications and analyses.

Sign up for free

License and Republishing

World Economic Forum articles may be republished in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Public License, and in accordance with our Terms of Use.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author alone and not the World Economic Forum.

Stay up to date:

Health and Healthcare

Share:
The Big Picture
Explore and monitor how Health and Healthcare is affecting economies, industries and global issues
A hand holding a looking glass by a lake
Crowdsource Innovation
Get involved with our crowdsourced digital platform to deliver impact at scale
World Economic Forum logo
Global Agenda

The Agenda Weekly

A weekly update of the most important issues driving the global agenda

Subscribe today

You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in our emails. For more details, review our privacy policy.

Billions of dollars have been invested in healthcare AI. But are we spending in the right places?

Jennifer Goldsack and Shauna Overgaard

November 14, 2024

Global leaders are transforming the conversation on women’s health. Here's how

About us

Engage with us

  • Sign in
  • Partner with us
  • Become a member
  • Sign up for our press releases
  • Subscribe to our newsletters
  • Contact us

Quick links

Language editions

Privacy Policy & Terms of Service

Sitemap

© 2024 World Economic Forum